I hate Robert Novak, but he has useful connections to the GOP. And in this week’s email update, New Mexico Republicans are nothing by grim over the idea of trying to retain Pete Domenici’s seat, especially with a poll like the one he sites.
Udall is a well-known and well-liked politician who taps perfectly into the environmentalist zeitgeist of the state. His liberal base is large and energetic while Pearce’s conservative base is much smaller. Bush hangs like a rain cloud over the GOP here, and McCain might not bring any coattails.
It’s believable then when one New Mexico Republican tells us of a poll showing Udall up by 31 points.
I think we can put this one to bed.
[UPDATE]
As a bonus, Novak also covered the NM-01 race.
Considering only the candidates, White has the edge, but the political landscape seriously favors Heinrich. Bush’s name and the GOP brand are dirt in New Mexico. Tom Udall is likely to dominate the Senate race. In Albuquerque at least, Obama enthusiasm could drive up Democratic turnout, while luke- warmness about McCain could suppress GOP turnout. Domenici won’t be able to help White, while Sen. Jeff Bingaman (D) could be on hand to boost all of the Democratic candidates.
Because we expect a strong Democratic tide, White’s strengths look likely to be wiped out by a Democratic surge. Leaning Democratic Takeover.
i received yesterday; john ensign(schumer’s repub counterpart)has abandoned pearce; only the club for growth will be working to elect pearce; put a fork in him, pearce is done……..
Pearce is toast. Obama will win New Mexico and Henrich will defiantly win. The only question mark is Pearce’s district (NM-2) and Teague. I think this massive win by Udall and a solid win by Obama will drag Teague across the finish line. It’s going to be a tough district to hold though.
Who can win bigger Tom Udall or Mark Warner. Place your bets!
Two free seats for us this year. Let’s hope Shaheen and Mark Udall are able to get into this category soon.